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UFC on FOX: Preview, Predictions For Machida vs. Rockhold, More

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Luke Rockhold shares the octagon with Lyoto Machida to headline UFC on FOX this month, here is the full breakdown and predictions for the card.

Felice"Lil Bulldog" Herrig vs Paige "12 Gauge" Vanzant

Striking Advantage: Felice definitely has the advantage on the feet as far as a technical standpoint.  She dosent't necessarily have the best flow or combinations, but she definitely has a solid fundamental basis for the mostpart.  Vanzant, on the other hand, is more on the wild side in her standup game.  She charges straight with her chin in the air mainly looking to clinch up with her opponent.  Vanzant is really active in the clinch and will not stop attacking. 

Grappling Advantage: Herrig showed she could get of dangerous positions against Lisa Ellis early, and came back to submit her in a very nice armbar.  Herrig also has decent takedowns as well.  Vanzant got taken down quite a bit in her fight against Kailin Curran but when the fight hit the mat she attacked right away with submission attempts and strikes from the bottom.  Although Curran was gassed in that fight, it was a pretty impressive performance.  Overall Herrig is just better with control, takedowns, and straight submissions in my opinion, but I do expect a few crazy scrambles.

Breakdown: This is a fairly big fight considering the popularity of Herrig and Vanzant and her new Reebok deal.  I honestly believe Vanzant is getting rushed up into higher level competition to fast, but she definitely is exciting to watch.  All in all, Herrig is better everywhere in my opinion.  Her well rounded skill set will shut down the frantic game of Vanzant on route to a win.

Prediction: Herrig via unanimous decision
Bart: Herrig via decision

Cub Swanson vs Max "Blessed" Holloway


Striking Advantage: This is a fantastic matchup on the feet.  Swanson is one of the best boxers in the division, and he has throws excellent leg and calf kicks along with quick head movement.  Swanson occasionally throws cartwheel kicks and spinning hell kicks.  Holloway is also a dynamic and creatice striker.  He throws a lot of flying knees, spinning back kicks, and is really good at mixing it up with his combinations.  I would give Holloway a slight advantage at distance and I give Swanson the edge in the pocket and a slight advantage in the power department.  We are really going to see the full striking arsenal from both guys. as I highly doubt either guy looks for a takedown.  Swanson has definitely faced the better strikers so far in the UFC having beat guys like Ross Pearson, Jeremy Stephens, and Dustin Poirier.  Holloway has finished 3 of his last 5 wins by strikes, but none of those guys were on Swanson's level of striking.  All in all, I give Cub a slight edge on the feet mainly due to more power, but Holloway definitely is game to bang it out.

Grappling Advantage: I highly doubt this fight hits the mat, but if it does it will be very interesting.  Both guys' weakness is grappling.  Holloway was submitted in his debuted and outgrappled and controlled by guys like Bermudez, Poirier, and Mcgregor.  Swanson, on the other hand, has also been submitted before against elite guys like Frankie Edgar and Ricardo Lamas.  The point is both guys have struggled on their backs, but neither of them opposes the threat for consistent takedowns or top control.  Both guys have good guillotine chokes, but like I said I don't see this touching the mat.

Breakdown: Holloway is a stud that definitely deserves this big test in Swanson with the dominating and devastating performances he's put on recently.  Swanson was dominated by Frankie Edgar in his last fight and needs a win to stay in the thick of things at 145.  As for gameplans, I think there is only one gameplan for both guys: Stand and Bang.  I see both guys respecting eachother for a bit, but once they settle in I see fireworks. 

Prediction:Swanson via unanimous decision
Bart: Swanson via decision

Ronaldo "Jacare" Souza vs Yoel "Soldier of God" Romero

Striking Advantage: I give the technical edge to Souza and a slight power advantage to Yoel Romero.  Romero mainly throws a couple of punches at a time and likes to throw the occasional flying knee.  Souza's standup game has improved a lot since his Strikeforce days and showed he had power as well against Okami.  Yoel is pretty straight-forward, and Jacare is definitely better on the outside at a distance.  All in all, Jacare's striking game is more diverse.

Grappling Advantage: Souza is arguably the best grappler in MMA right now.  We're talking about a guy who has beaten Demian Maia, Gabriel Gonzaga, and Robert Drysdale in grappling competitions.  Romero is a former silver medal winner in freestyle wrestling and might have some of the best offensive wrestling in MMA right now as well. Although Romero is a great wrestler he has been taken down by Ronny Markes, Derek Brunson, and Tim Kennedy.  Jacare can definitely take Romero down and the same goes for Yoel, but what separates them is the elite submission ability of Jacare.

Breakdown: This is a huge fight in the 185lb division.  If Souza wins impressively he could leapfrog the winner of the main and get a title shot vs the winner of Weidman/Belfort.  If Yoel wins, he won't be in a spot for a title shot, but he will be a win away.  I think Yoel would mainly look to keep this fight standing like he does in most of his fights, and I expect Jacare to do the same for awhile.  I do think Jacare has the power to rock and finish Yoel with strikes or a slick submission.  I see Jacare being better everywhere and I think his performance will be impressive.

Prediction: Jacare via 2nd Rd submission
Bart: Jacare via 3rd Rd submission

Lyoto "The Dragon" Machida vs Luke Rockhold

Striking Advantage: These guys do a lot of things similar.  Both guys have a hard left body and high kick.  Both have quick straight lefts that can put each other on their ass, and both are good at distance and staying on the outside counterpunching.  I think Rochold is a bit better in the pocket and Machida slightly better at distance.  Both like to finishes guys with kicks rather than punches. I can't give either guy an advantage. 
Advantage: Even

Grappling Advantage: Both guys are black belts, but Rockhold uses his submissions better in the cage.  I think most of this fight will stay standing as both guys are fairly hard to catch, but if they end up in a scramble I give a slight advantage to Rockhold.
Advantage:Rockhold

Breakdown: A title shot is on the line in this fight as Rockhold and Machida are a win away from a fight with the winner of Weidman/Belfort.  Machida is coming off a body kick tko win over CB Dolloway, and Rockhold is coming off a one hand submission win over Micheal Bisping.  I definitely see this fight going the full 5 rounds.  I think it will be fairly even on the feet, but I do expect Rockhold to look to take Machida down at some point.  This is an extremely close fight, but I think Rockhold is going to edge it out by winning grappling exchanges.

Prediction: Rockhold via decision
Bart: Rockhold via decision

Prelims

Beneil Dariush vs Jim Miller
Genius:Dariush via decision     
Bart:Dariush via decision

OSP vs Cummins
Genius: Cummins via decision
Bart: Cummins via decision

Anderson vs Villante
Genius: Anderson via decision
Bart: Anderson via decision

Mizugaki vs Sterling
Genius: Sterling via 2nd Rd submission
Bart:Sterling via decision

Sullivan vs Means
Genius: Means via unanimous decision
Bart:Means via tko in 1st rd

Brandao vs Hettes
Genius: Brandao via 1st round KO
Bart:  Hettes via submission in 2nd rd

Gordon vs Dempsey
Genius: Gordon via 2nd rd TKO
Bart: Eddie Gordon via decision

COMMENTS

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TheSportMatrix • We Live For Sport: UFC on FOX: Preview, Predictions For Machida vs. Rockhold, More
UFC on FOX: Preview, Predictions For Machida vs. Rockhold, More
Preview, predictions for UFC on FOX: Rockhold vs. Machida
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TheSportMatrix • We Live For Sport
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