Jonavin "Spyda" Webb vs Nathan "Soulforce" Coy
Webb is coming off an disappointing split decision loss to Kyle Noke in his debut, but I thought he performed and handled himself well and in my opinion won the fight. He is primarily a bjj guy but he's got good hands and fluid movement. He showed power in his debut and the confidence to drop on wild submissions. Coy, is a former D1 All-American wrestler with wins over Mike Pierce and Rick Story and he's coming off a disappointing TUF stint. Coy hasn't looked the best of late dating to his Bellator stint and his TUF fight vs Leque and his lost to Danny Roberts. Coy has been gassing out really quick in his last 3 fights and just seems to be on the decline. He is still very tough but I think he'll just leave too many openings whether it be standing or on the matt. I think Webb will catch him with a punch and finish him on the mat with a submission and get his first UFC win. The key for Coy is to obviously stay on top and avoid subs and possibly hope Webb can't get up from bottom, but I think Webb gets the job done.
Prediction: Webb via submission
Derek Brunson vs Roan "Jucao" Carneiro
Derek Brunson has performed well since coming over from Strikeforce. We know he is super, crazy athletic with power in his fists and good wrestling. This guy had Yoel Romero down 3 rounds before getting finished in the final round. Brunson seems to finally be hitting a stride and has been finishing dudes with his hands now and is definitely a guy to keeo an eye on. On the other hand, Jucao Carneiro is in quite the career resurgence and has been showing off that world-class top game on the mat. After dominating the Battlegrounds Tournament Jucao just seems to be a different man and fighter. As far as the fight, I don't agree with the line. Jucao is +310 in this fight and I think with a to game of his level that line should never be. Of course, Brunson can bumrush him and knock him out, but I think that wouldn't be safe vs a guy like Roan with a deadly top game. I know Roan had his blunders in his first UFC stint but I truly believe he is in the best form ever. I think Brunson will come strong early but I think Jucao will survive and change levels and take him down. And one mistake with Jucao on top of you and it could be over and I think that's what will happen.
Prediction: Jucao via 2nd round submission
"The" James Krause vs Shane "Shaolin" Campbell
Campbell is a highly decorated K1 level striker who recently outgrappled a bjj black belt in his last fight. We still haven't seen the best from him so far in the UFC but he is a serious striker with a particular hard teep to the ribs and hard leg kicks. Krause is a long, lanky, fairly well rounded fighter with definitely more MMA experience. Hes been in there with the best of the best. Krause has one hell of a jab and a nice trip takedown. His best attribute is utilizing that length and popping that jab.
As far as the fight, Krause has a tendency to not perform to the best of his abilities. He falls in this rhythym of throwing jabs with not much behind it. He also can slow down toward the end of rounds a lot as well. For example, In his fight with Jorge Masvidal and Lazaro, Krause just didn't respond well to punishment. Not to say that he folded up or anything but he didn't find back hard enough to win. His last W vs Cruickshank was impressive but there's no secret that Daron isn't the guy he once was. Campbell got finished in his debut b another decorated striker in Makdessi on short notice, but it wasn't like he quit or folded up. He landed some really good leg kicks as well in that fight. We have seen Shane hurt guys prior to the UFC with knees and front kicks to the ribs, and I don't think Krause has an answer to being hit in the body. We've seen him hurt there in the Stout and Green fights. All in all, I do think Krause is the better overall fighter, but I think he does not perform to what he's capable of. I expect Campbell to be really comfortable in this one and I think he busts up Krause's legs and ribs up for a hard fought win.
Prediction: Campbell via decision
Dennis "The Menace" Bermudez vs Tatsuya "Crusher" Kawajiri
This fight is almost a must win for Dennis and I think he's going to win this one pretty soundly. Dennis, a D1 wrestler, is very explosive and mentally tough. His problem is that he gets to aggressive and just charges in and his lack of head movement. Tatsuya has the same bread and butter as Bermudez but he's slower and less explosive. I think if Tatsuya tries to engage Dennis in a wrestling match like he likes to do, I think he's going to loose. Even though he's not known for his hands, standing with Bermudez is a better bet. Dennis gets dropped in a lot of his fights and is vulnerable to subs when that happens. All in all, I would understand why one would bet on Kawajiri just due to the openings that Dennis presents, but I think Dennis just flat out works him for a decision win.
Prediction: Bermudez via decision
Donald "Cowboy" Cerrone vs Alex "Cowboy" Oliviera
Cerrone is coming off the devastating L to Dos Anjos in the rematch and Oliviera is coming off a brutal KO victory of Piotr Hallman. Overall, I definitely think Cerrone is the better fighter. Cerrone has very underrated wrestling and nasty jitz game off his back. He's a slow starter and seems to can never figure out why he does. In my opinion, Cerrone could be rushing back to soon into this fight and a guy that comes hard in the 1st like Alex could get him out. This fight is cut and dry to me. Alex has got to stalk Cerrone and put pressure on Donald and make him fold. If he lets Cerrone settle in and start taking him down, hell most likely get choked out or grinded out. Alex throws long, powerful punches with nice in and out movement. I think it's going be hard for Cerrone to use his high kicks this fight just because Oliviera is so wild and unpredictable. The real question is how much damage did RDA do to Cerrone? There's a good chance he wont be the same fighter. It's so hard to pick against him in these fights though. He's never lost back to back and always looks impressive after an L. All in all, I think Cerrone will get lit up early but will settle in take this to the mat eventually, which will tire Alex out as the fight progresses. This fight should be sick though! Cowboy vs Cowboy!
Prediction: Cerrone via submission
1U Straight Bet on Roan "Jucao" Carneiro (+310)
.5U Straight Bet on Derek Campos (+230) (Bellator)
.5U Straight Bet on Shane "Shaolin" Campbell (+130)
.5U Parlay Valiev(WSOF)/Webb/ Garbrandt (+121)